Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.076598 0.088894 0.102341 0.118112 0.136075 0.155870 0.179309
2025-01-19 0.056487 0.072375 0.091328 0.115497 0.145384 0.181006 0.226545
2025-01-26 0.046553 0.065010 0.088741 0.121237 0.164283 0.219021 0.293513
2025-02-02 0.039230 0.059163 0.086549 0.126459 0.182568 0.257973 0.366155
2025-02-09 0.031119 0.050471 0.078770 0.122464 0.187342 0.279021 0.416959
2025-02-16 0.025741 0.044618 0.073827 0.121333 0.195380 0.304749 0.476285
2025-02-23 0.021122 0.039003 0.068193 0.118034 0.199304 0.324332 0.528013
2025-03-02 0.017627 0.034554 0.063606 0.115508 0.203729 0.344596 0.582133
2025-03-09 0.015411 0.031911 0.061552 0.116716 0.214038 0.374676 0.653942
2025-03-16 0.012925 0.028289 0.057190 0.113219 0.215789 0.390709 0.704037
2025-03-23 0.011955 0.027438 0.057725 0.118503 0.233268 0.434389 0.803698
2025-03-30 0.010644 0.025643 0.056174 0.119618 0.243206 0.465762 0.884638
2025-04-06 0.009065 0.023023 0.052683 0.116671 0.245530 0.484370 0.945760
2025-04-13 0.007849 0.020982 0.050074 0.115131 0.250353 0.507933 1.017894
2025-04-20 0.007414 0.020699 0.051174 0.121403 0.271269 0.563275 1.153214
2025-04-27 0.006957 0.020273 0.051889 0.126919 0.291183 0.618332 1.292304
2025-05-04 0.005943 0.018216 0.048551 0.123050 0.291058 0.634218 1.357201
2025-05-11 0.005237 0.016829 0.046577 0.121983 0.296741 0.662037 1.447550
2025-05-18 0.004512 0.015231 0.043825 0.118702 0.297133 0.678967 1.517211
2025-05-25 0.003925 0.013899 0.041526 0.116180 0.298899 0.698787 1.594127
2025-06-01 0.003571 0.013200 0.040779 0.117402 0.309408 0.737969 1.714161
2025-06-08 0.003079 0.011947 0.038318 0.113891 0.308278 0.751688 1.781034
2025-06-15 0.002950 0.011873 0.039166 0.119205 0.329111 0.815679 1.961096